German election polling suggests Greens continuing to lose ground

The latest Forsa poll on voting intentions for ’s parliamentary elections suggested the centre-right coalition of the Christian Democrats and Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) further extended its lead over the Greens.

The poll, which was commissioned by RTL and ntv and published on Wednesday, had the CDU/CSU on 27 per cent an increase of two points while the Greens share fell two points to 22 per cent.

All other parties remained unchanged compared with last week’s figures. These suggested the SPD and FDP would come in at 14 per cent, the AfD at 9 and the Linke (Left Party) at 6.

The polling began on June 1, and lasted through Monday.

If the figures were to translate into real votes in September’s election, three government combinations would be possible: CDU/CSU/Greens; A so-called traffic light coalition of Greens, SPD and FDP; and a coalition of CDU/CSU, SPD and FDP.

The lead of the Greens’ candidate for chancellor, Annalena Baerbock, against her rivals Armin Laschet and Olaf Scholz has narrowed.

Compared with the previous week, she lost three percentage points and comes in at 21 per cent. Laschet now stood at 20 per cent (plus 1), and Scholz’s standing has risen to 16 per cent (plus 2).

In the Sunday trend, which was compiled by the polling institute Insa for the “Bild am Sonntag” newspaper, the CDU and CSU came to 26 per cent last weekend, with the Greens at 21 per cent.

Election polls were generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term election decisions made it difficult for polling institutes to accurately weight the data they collect.

Forsa gave a statistical margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. In principle, polls only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and were not forecasts of the election outcome. (dpa/)

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